Supreme Court Report

A window on the Court’s docket

Supreme Court Report

Every case the Supreme Court is asked to hear, what it asks, and the odds it is granted — rebuilt three times a day from the Court’s own docket.

Likeliest grants

Paid-docket cases filed in the last 7 days, against a 4.1% base rate. An estimate, not a prediction about any case.

Paid-docket cases filed in the last 28 days, against a 4.1% base rate. An estimate, not a prediction about any case.

Every pending paid-docket case the site holds, whenever filed, against a 4.1% base rate; each re-checked against its docket today. An estimate, not a prediction about any case.

  1. 72% 17× United States v. Devonte Devon Jackson Whether a person who becomes the first assistant after a vacancy arises is ineligible to be the acting officer under Section 3345(a)(1). No. 26-304
  2. 55% 13× PacifiCorp, an Oregon Business Corporation v. Casey Sixkiller, Director, Washington State Department of Ecology Whether Tracy exempts a State from dormant Commerce Clause scrutiny when state law imposes different burdens on the same product based on whether the product is sold in state or out of state. No. 26-318
  3. 29% 7× Chamber of Commerce v. Environmental Protection Agency Whether EPA may revise a NAAQS without the “thorough review” required by section 109(d)(1) simply because it acts “earlier or more frequently” than mandated. No. 26-298
  4. 28% 7× Gulf Coast Racing LLC. v. Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, Incorporated Whether Congress, when empowering the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority with exclusive nationwide rulemaking, investigative, prosecutorial, and adjudicatory authority under federal law, had to comply with the Appointments Clause despite the Authority having incorporated as a “private” nonprofit corporation under Delaware law mere weeks before the… No. 26-332
  5. 27% 7× Patrick Morrisey, Governor of West Virginia v. Jonathan R., Minor, by Next Friend, Sarah Dixon No. 26-297
  1. 72% 17× United States v. Devonte Devon Jackson Whether a person who becomes the first assistant after a vacancy arises is ineligible to be the acting officer under Section 3345(a)(1). No. 26-304
  2. 55% 13× PacifiCorp, an Oregon Business Corporation v. Casey Sixkiller, Director, Washington State Department of Ecology Whether Tracy exempts a State from dormant Commerce Clause scrutiny when state law imposes different burdens on the same product based on whether the product is sold in state or out of state. No. 26-318
  3. 29% 7× Chamber of Commerce v. Environmental Protection Agency Whether EPA may revise a NAAQS without the “thorough review” required by section 109(d)(1) simply because it acts “earlier or more frequently” than mandated. No. 26-298
  4. 28% 7× Gulf Coast Racing LLC. v. Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, Incorporated Whether Congress, when empowering the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority with exclusive nationwide rulemaking, investigative, prosecutorial, and adjudicatory authority under federal law, had to comply with the Appointments Clause despite the Authority having incorporated as a “private” nonprofit corporation under Delaware law mere weeks before the… No. 26-332
  5. 27% 7× Patrick Morrisey, Governor of West Virginia v. Jonathan R., Minor, by Next Friend, Sarah Dixon No. 26-297
  1. 75% 18× United States v. Devonte Devon Jackson Whether a person who becomes the first assistant after a vacancy arises is ineligible to be the acting officer under Section 3345(a)(1). No. 26-304
  2. 68% 16× Markwayne Mullin, Secretary of Homeland Security v. Refugee and Immigrant Center for Education and Legal Services Whether Presidential Proclamation No. 10,888, 90 Fed. Reg. 8333 (Jan. 29, 2025), and its implementing guidance—which suspended the entry of certain aliens and precluded their access to statutory provisions that would enable their continued presence in the country, including asylum—are lawful. No. 26-239
  3. 68% 16× United States v. E. Jean Carroll Whether the court of appeals misconstrued the Westfall Act, 28 U.S.C. 2679, in rejecting the Attorney General’s certification that statements made by President Trump during his first term fell within the scope of his federal office for purposes of the Act. No. 26-142
  4. 68% 16× Department of the Interior v. Shoshone-Bannock Tribes of the Fort Hall Reservation Whether the United States may invoke FLPMA to dispose of land that the government previously acquired from an Indian tribe, when the statute that approved the land’s earlier purchase stated that the land “shall be opened to settlement by the proclamation of the President, and shall be subject to disposal under the homestead, town-site, stone and timber… No. 26-96
  5. 66% 16× United States v. Nicolas Talbott Whether a Department of War policy that generally disqualifies from military service individuals who have gender dysphoria, a history of the condition, or a history of related interventions—issued by Secretary of War Hegseth in implementing Executive Order No. 14,183— violates the equal-protection component of the Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment. No. 26-272
  6. 62% 15× Federal Trade Commission v. National Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association Whether the enforcement provisions of the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Act of 2020, 15 U.S.C. 3051 et seq.—which authorize the Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority, a private entity, to assist the Federal Trade Commission in enforcing the statute—violate the private nondelegation doctrine on their face. No. 26-201
  7. 61% 15× Gary Westcott, Secretary, Louisiana Department of Public Safety and Corrections v. Voice of the Experienced Whether, under this Court’s precedents applying the mootness exception for issues capable of repetition yet evading review, a 90-day period is too short to fully litigate an issue. No. 26-18
  8. 59% 14× Department of Justice v. Scott McNutt Whether the prohibition on the production of distilled spirits in particular locations, including “in any dwelling house” or “in any shed, yard, or inclosure connected with any dwelling house,” 26 U.S.C. 5178(a)(1)(B), is necessary and proper for carrying into execution Congress’s enumerated power to lay and collect taxes. No. 26-204
  9. 59% 14× PacifiCorp, an Oregon Business Corporation v. Casey Sixkiller, Director, Washington State Department of Ecology Whether Tracy exempts a State from dormant Commerce Clause scrutiny when state law imposes different burdens on the same product based on whether the product is sold in state or out of state. No. 26-318
  10. 56% 14× The Capital Group Companies, Inc. v. Cathy Pover Whether “appropriate relief” for a defined-contribution-plan participant under ERISA § 502(a)(2) includes monetary recovery to other participants’ individual retirement accounts. No. 26-267

All petitions this week → · How the forecast works →

Recent decisions

The Court’s most recent written opinions, argued or not.

  1. Fri Sep 4 National Republican Congressional Committee v. Sherrod Brown Emergency application · Per curiam · Granted · Opinion Because the Fourth Circuit likely lacked jurisdiction to review the Federal Communications Commission’s lowest-unit-charge requirements while the candidates’ application for review remained pending before the Commission and the party…
  2. Mon Aug 31 National Park Service v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States Emergency application · Per curiam · Granted · Opinion Because the government has established that it is likely to prevail in showing that the Trust lacks Article III standing to challenge the East Wing project in federal court, that it would likely suffer irreparable harm without a stay, and…
  3. Mon Aug 24 Donald J. Trump, President of the United States v. California Emergency application · Per curiam · Granted · Opinion The Government’s application to stay the District Court’s injunction in 26A124—which forbids the Government to implement §§2 and 3 of Executive Order No.
  4. Mon Aug 24 Alabama v. California Emergency application · Per curiam · Denied as moot · Opinion The Government’s application to stay the District Court’s injunction in 26A124—which forbids the Government to implement §§2 and 3 of Executive Order No.

All argued cases →

Latest orders

What the Court granted, sent back and turned away, from its order lists.

  1. Thu Sep 10 Miscellaneous order 1 denied · Daniel O. Conahan, Jr. v. Florida
  2. Thu Sep 10 Miscellaneous order 1 in pending cases · People Not Politicians v. Robert Onder
  3. Wed Sep 9 Miscellaneous order 1 in pending cases · Iowa and Montana, Plaintiffs v. Arizona
  4. Tue Sep 8 Miscellaneous order 1 in pending cases · Jane Doe, as next friend of C.F. v. James V. McDonald, Commissioner, New York State Department of Health

All order lists →

Upcoming at the Court

The next conferences and argument days on the Court’s calendar.

  1. Mon Sep 28 Conference 962 cases distributed
  2. Mon Oct 5 2 arguments Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. County Commissioners of Boulder County · Floyd D. Johnson v. United States Congress
  3. Tue Oct 6 Argument Winston R. Anderson v. Intel Corporation Investment Policy Committee
  4. Wed Oct 7 Argument Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, fka Prutehi Litekyan
  5. Tue Oct 13 2 arguments Kenneth Genalo, Director of the New York Field Office of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement v. Carol Williams Black · Kendrick Jarrell Beaird v. United States
  6. Wed Oct 14 Argument Michael Salazar v. Paramount Global, dba 247Sports

Most-Read Cases

Ranked by page views over the 30 days ending September 13, 2026.

  1. United States v. Devonte Devon Jackson, et al. No. 26-304
  2. Chamber of Commerce, et al. v. Environmental Protection Agency, et al. No. 26-298
  3. PacifiCorp, an Oregon Business Corporation v. Casey Sixkiller, Director, Washington State Department of Ecology No. 26-318
  4. Patrick Morrisey, Governor of West Virginia, et al. v. Jonathan R., Minor, by Next Friend, Sarah Dixon, et al. No. 26-297
  5. Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc., et al. v. County Commissioners of Boulder County, et al. No. 25-170

Follow by feed All updates Certiorari grants